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Joy Roy
Aug 03, 2022
In Wellness Forum
It is a piece of cake for other countries, and the significance to the Central Bank of Taiwan is very different. Since 2007, the central bank has raised interest rates by up to half a yard (12.5 bp) each time. This time, the rate of a full yard (25 bp) exceeded market expectations. Many people have begun to speculate that the central bank intends to sell housing, and will follow up to raise interest rates before it can respond to simultaneously curb inflation expectations. Then let's imagine the situation in Taiwan and the United States by the end of the year: Number of meetings: There will be 6 more meetings in the United States in 2022. The Central Bank of Taiwan traditionally holds a meeting of the board of directors and supervisors at the end of each quarter, that is, once in June and September, with a difference whatsapp list of four times. Prediction range: Various research centers generally believe that the Taiwan central bank will raise interest rates twice in the next two times, and the rate will fall within half a yard (12.5 bp). Thinking back a hundred steps, we will increase the rate of interest rate hikes for the next two times to "1 yard". It came to 1.875%. Interest rate futures in the United States are as follows, with a 100% chance of a rate hike, and the last meeting by the end of the year will come to 2.50%-2.75%. This is an intuitive ratio, so assuming the central bank of Taiwan does not increase the number of meetings or raise interest rates more, the interest rate gap with the United States will widen. unnamed Screenshot from CME FedWatch Tool unnamed Screenshot from CME FedWatch Tool Taiwan stock and Taiwan dollar double rose and disappeared "Successful epidemic prevention, thriving exports, leading technology, and capital inflow" can describe Taiwan's obvious economic strength in the past few years. The influx of funds has made the New Taiwan dollar the world's most powerful currency from time to time. It has also repeatedly hit new highs, and "double rise in stock exchange" has become the best synonym for the past three or four years.
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Joy Roy

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